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EPPI Survey: Bawumia is 3 points ahead of Alan, NDC voters want Mahama to back a new candidate for election 2024.

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EPPI Survey: Bawumia is 3 points ahead of Alan, NDC voters want Mahama to back a new candidate for election 2024.

A recent survey by the European Public Policy Institute with its national representative sample of 1258 eligible voters suggests that the current Vice President of the Republic of Ghana, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia leads his foreseen close competitor, Mr. Alan John Kwadow Kyerematen by three points according to the data collected with a margin error of +/- 3%.

Hon. Allan Kwadwo Kyeremanteng – Minister of State, Trade & Industry

His late father, Alhaji Mumuni Bawumia, was once the Northern Regional Minister in the Nkrumah government, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is from a family that is deeply rooted in politics from the independence era, but not many people knew him as such, apart from being a technocrat with impeccable credentials in economics.

H.E. Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia – Vice President, Republic of Ghana

Born on October 7, 1963, Dr Bawumia studied banking and obtained the Chartered Institute of Bankers Diploma (ACIB).

He also obtained a First Class Honours Degree in Economics at the Buckingham University in 1987 and went on to obtain a master 's degree in Economics at the Lincoln College, Oxford, and a PhD in Economics at the Simon Fraser University, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada in 1995.

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His areas of specialization include Macroeconomics, International Economics, Development Economics and Monetary Policy.

The Survey report suggests also that 61% of NDC card bearing members prefer the former President John Dramani Mahama backing a new candidate for the 2024 elections.

John Dramani Mahama – Former President, Republic of Ghana

The flagbearer of the NDC for the 2020 election, became President after the demise of Professor Evans Atta Mills and eventually winning the 2012 general election with 5,574,761 votes, fast forward, he lost the 2016 elections with a margin of 984,570 votes after the Electoral management body obtained results from all 275 constituencies to President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo – Addo.

The survey revealed that 82% of respondent trust the elections results were accurate after the elections petition, 18% however do not trust that the election results were accurate, their paramount reason describes the Electoral management body of failing the system.

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SOURCE: EPPI Team

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Governance

Ghana’s 2024 Presidential Elections: A Clash of Titans Between the NPP and NDC

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With just a few hours left for Ghana’s 2024 presidential and parliamentary elections, the political atmosphere is charged with anticipation. This election is set to be a defining moment for the nation for various reasons. One important thing to note is that it marks the eighth presidential race since the country’s return to multiparty democracy in 1992.

The two leading contenders, representing the country’s most dominant political parties—the New Patriotic Party (NPP) and the National Democratic Congress (NDC)— have just concluded their final rallies, which interestingly, were held just a few kilometers away from each other in Accra.

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NPP’s Candidate: Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia
Current Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is the presidential candidate for the ruling NPP. As the first Muslim to lead the party into a presidential race, Dr. Bawumia’s candidacy represents a significant milestone for the NPP. As a technocrat and the leader of the economic management team, he has been a central figure in President Nana Akufo-Addo’s administration. He spearheaded initiatives like the Ghana Card, the digitalization of public services, and mobile money interoperability. All these achievements have earned him the nickname, “Alhaji digital.”

Throughout Dr Bawumia’s campaign, he has emphasized economic transformation through technology and industrialization. Another key message in his campaign is the success of the Free SHS scheme which was the party’s flagship policy in the last elections held in 2020. Dr Bawumia believes “It is possible” to turn the fortunes of Ghana around. However, his campaign has faced significant challenges tied to the current administration’s economic record, including high inflation, rising debt levels, and a controversial bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Dr Bawumia and his running mate Dr Matthew Opoku Prempeh

Dr Bawumia in consultation with the leaders of the NPP chose former Energy Minister, Dr. Matthew Opoku Prempeh (NAPO) to be his running mate. This alliance with NAPO, a son of Manhyia has been described by many as a strategic one which is aimed at cementing the already existing bond between the NPP and the people of the Ashanti Region which has been described as the party’s stronghold for many years.

NDC’s Candidate: John Dramani Mahama
On the other side of the political coin is former President John Dramani Mahama, representing the NDC. This is his third presidential campaign, and he remains a polarizing yet formidable figure in Ghanaian politics. Mahama’s campaign is largely focused on what he describes as rescuing the country from the mismanagement of the NPP government. His flagship policies are the 24Hour Economy which he says is aimed at reducing youth unemployment and Operation Recover All Loot (ORAL) where he promises to prosecute all state officials who have misappropriated state funds.

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The former president is banking on his experience, emphasizing policies aimed at economic recovery, infrastructure development, and social welfare. His previous tenure as president (2012–2016) is both his greatest asset and liability; while he oversaw significant infrastructural projects, critics often highlight issues of corruption and inefficiency during his administration. This has become an albatross round his neck throughout his campaign, with many questioning his candidature. However, Mahama has pledged to learn from past mistakes and promises a more inclusive and transparent government if elected.

Former President John Mahama and his running mate Prof. Jane Naana Opoku Agyemang

John Mahama also made a strategic move by choosing Professor Jane Naana Opoku Agyemang as his running mate. Should the NDC win the elections, she would become the first female vice president of Ghana. This bold move was welcomed by all especially women’s groups who have always called for the inclusion of more women is governance and leadership positions.

The Road Ahead
With these major parties finally concluding their campaigns with massive rallies which drew massive crowds at their respective venues, it is difficult to say the winner of 7th December’s elections is glaring. For the NPP, who seek to “break the 8” with their first Northern leader and be elected for a 3rd consecutive term, this election is a very crucial one.

For the NDC, who seek former President Mahama’s reelection and setting a record for having Ghana’s first female president, this election represents a whirlwind of possibilities.
In all this, one thing remains clear, Ghanaians will not only vote based on party loyalty but also on who they believe can best address their immediate concerns. With the stakes so high, the 2024 presidential elections promise to be one of the most consequential in Ghana’s democratic history.

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The countdown has begun, and all eyes are on December 7, 2024 for the presidential elections. Will Ghana chart a new course with Dr. Bawumia or return to familiar territory with Mahama? Only time will tell.

Written by: Maame Adwoa A. Mensah

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